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Tukums 2000 2 vs Skanste

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Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tukums 2000 2 play Skanste in the Nakotnes liga. Skanste are favorites here. Recently, Tukums 2000 2 averaged 1.45 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. Skanste averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. In past meetings, Tukums 2000 2 won 1, Skanste won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Tukums 2000 2 and 2.19 for Skanste. This points to a Skanste double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tukums 2000 2
15%
Draws
59%
Skanste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skanste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tukums 2000 2 picked up more points recently compared to Skanste.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 2 Skanste
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Skanste
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Tukums 2000 2
6:2
Jul 18, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Skanste
1:2
Oct 5, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Tukums 2000 2
7:0
Jun 15, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Skanste
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Deruzinskis R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koki Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Skanste Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 2 25 / 100
Skanste 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 2 Skanste

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skanste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Skanste & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tukums 2000 2 attacking → ← attacking Skanste

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 2 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Skanste let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Tukums 2000 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Skanste lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 47
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1141620:2113
10RFS 21223715:269
11Tukums 2000 21222816:318
12JFK Ventspils1114612:207
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334