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Tulevik vs Narva U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Baljabkin N.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tulevik and Narva U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Tulevik
30%
Draws
56%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Narva U21 come out ahead of Tulevik on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Narva U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tulevik Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tulevik Narva U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2.43 2.57
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tulevik
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Narva U21
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tulevik
4:2
Jul 21, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Narva U21
1:1
May 30, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Narva U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tulevik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baljabkin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tulevik 10 / 100
Narva U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tulevik Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tulevik scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Narva U21 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Tulevik stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tulevik VS Narva U21
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tulevik

(Home)
20 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 2
Tulevik
16 Aug
Tulevik
1 : 4
Levadia U19
08 Aug
Tartu Kalev
4 : 2
Tulevik
01 Aug
Tulevik
0 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
25 Jul
Tulevik
0 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
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Narva U21

(Away)
19 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Narva U21
15 Aug
Narva U21
1 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
09 Aug
Legion
1 : 3
Narva U21
01 Aug
Narva U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Jul
Narva U21
4 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 23 14 2 7 57:31 44
2 Levadia U19 24 14 2 8 59:42 44
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 23 13 4 6 62:45 43
4 Tartu Kalev 24 13 1 10 64:46 40
5 Johvi Phoenix 24 12 3 9 53:53 39
6 Tulevik 24 11 4 9 60:49 37
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 24 10 4 10 63:54 34
8 Tabasalu 24 9 2 13 37:61 29
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 24 5 4 15 49:61 19
10 Legion 22 3 2 17 22:84 11
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)