Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuna Luso U20 vs Aguia De Maraba U20

Brazil Brazil

Paraense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tuna Luso U20 in this Paraense U20 2024 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tuna Luso U20
33%
Draws
27%
Aguia De Maraba U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tuna Luso U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tuna Luso U20 have won more games recently than Aguia De Maraba U20.
  • Tuna Luso U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Tuna Luso U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tuna Luso U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tuna Luso U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Aguia De Maraba U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuna Luso U20 Aguia De Maraba U20
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 19 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 3.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Paraense U20
Tuna Luso U20 vs Aguia De Maraba U20
3:1
Jan 18, 2025 Paraense U20
Aguia De Maraba U20 vs Tuna Luso U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuna Luso U20 39 / 100
Aguia De Maraba U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuna Luso U20 Aguia De Maraba U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuna Luso U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Aguia De Maraba U20 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 21 outings.

Recent resilience: Tuna Luso U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuna Luso U20 VS Aguia De Maraba U20
3.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuna Luso U20

(Home)
12 Jan
Guanabara City U20
1 : 0
Tuna Luso U20
09 Jan
Botafogo SP U20
1 : 0
Tuna Luso U20
06 Jan
Tuna Luso U20
1 : 1
Santa Cruz U20
03 Jan
Bandeirante U20
0 : 0
Tuna Luso U20
18 Oct
Tuna Luso U20
4 : 2
Paysandu PA U20
Page 1 of 6

Aguia De Maraba U20

(Away)
13 Jan
EC Juventude U20
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba U20
10 Jan
Aguia De Maraba U20
1 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
07 Jan
Taubate U20
1 : 2
Aguia De Maraba U20
04 Jan
Botafogo RJ U20
1 : 0
Aguia De Maraba U20
04 Oct
Paysandu PA U20
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Castanhal U20-
TBD-
Belenense U203
Paysandu PA U207
Aguia De Maraba U20-
TBD-
Tuna Luso U202
Remo U201
Semi-finals
Castanhal U202
Paysandu PA U204
Aguia De Maraba U204
Tuna Luso U203
Final
Paysandu PA U203
Aguia De Maraba U202