Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tupapa vs Kiwi Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2016
Tupapa Logo

Tupapa

1 - 2
FT
Kiwi Logo

Kiwi

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Saofaiga M.
65' Event
Mosquera T.
75' Event
Simiona H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kiwi in this OFC Champions League 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kiwi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tupapa
15%
Draws
51%
Kiwi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kiwi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Tupapa have won more games recently than Kiwi.
  • Model gives Tupapa a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 20%
Kiwi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupapa Kiwi
Matches Played 35 21
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 0
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2.91 2.48
Goals Conceded 3.11 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Kiwi
4:1
Jan 29, 2016 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Kiwi
1:2
Oct 20, 2013 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Kiwi
0:3
May 3, 2012 OFC Champions League
Kiwi vs Tupapa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Simiona H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Kiwi Compare

Top Goalscorer Saofaiga M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mosquera T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupapa 85 / 100
Kiwi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupapa Kiwi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiwi has conceded goals in 95% of their last 21 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Tupapa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (35 games).

Away concern: Kiwi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupapa VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupapa

(Home)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 7

Kiwi

(Away)
01 Mar
Ba
5 : 1
Kiwi
26 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 13
Team Wellington
23 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
02 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 9
Kiwi
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiwi 3 3 0 0 15:4 9
2 Tupapa 3 2 0 1 17:3 6
3 Utulei Youth 3 1 0 2 6:17 3
4 Veitongo 3 0 0 3 3:17 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2016 (Main)