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Tupi-MG vs Democrata SL

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Campos Pereira G. C.
49' Event
Thomasel

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2024 game between Tupi-MG and Democrata SL finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Tupi-MG
15%
Draws
68%
Democrata SL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Democrata SL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Democrata SL carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Democrata SL taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tupi-MG Clean Sheet 23%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupi-MG Democrata SL
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 Mineiro 2
Tupi-MG vs Democrata SL
1:1
May 10, 2024 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Tupi-MG
4:0
May 25, 2022 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Tupi-MG
3:0
Jul 24, 2021 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Tupi-MG
1:1
Feb 29, 2020 Mineiro 2
Tupi-MG vs Democrata SL
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupi-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos Pereira G. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Democrata SL Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomasel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupi-MG 10 / 100
Democrata SL 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupi-MG Democrata SL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Democrata SL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Democrata SL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tupi-MG scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Tupi-MG remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupi-MG VS Democrata SL
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupi-MG

(Home)
22 Nov
Boa
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
02 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
25 Oct
Tupi-MG
0 : 3
Novo Esporte
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Democrata SL

(Away)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betim FC 10 3 5 2 8:7 14
2 Aymores 10 3 4 3 9:9 13
3 Valeriodoce 10 2 7 1 10:8 13
4 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 6 2 14:11 12
5 Democrata SL 10 2 6 2 9:6 12
6 Tupi-MG 10 2 4 4 5:14 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 URT 10 5 4 1 12:7 19
2 North Esporte Clube 10 6 0 4 9:6 18
3 Mamore 10 4 3 3 9:8 15
4 Caldense 10 2 5 3 6:7 11
5 Varginha 10 1 5 4 7:10 8
6 Boa 10 1 5 4 8:13 8
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)