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Tupi-MG vs Novo Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
38' Event
57' Event

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2025 game between Tupi-MG and Novo Esporte finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novo Esporte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tupi-MG
22%
Draws
60%
Novo Esporte
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Novo Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novo Esporte come out ahead of Tupi-MG on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Novo Esporte's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Tupi-MG Clean Sheet 23%
Novo Esporte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupi-MG Novo Esporte
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Mineiro 3
Tupi-MG vs Novo Esporte
0:3
Sep 6, 2025 Mineiro 3
Novo Esporte vs Tupi-MG
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupi-MG 21 / 100
Novo Esporte 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupi-MG Novo Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tupi-MG scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Novo Esporte conceded in 55% of 22 recent games.

Tupi-MG went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupi-MG VS Novo Esporte
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coimbra Esporte Clube541010:313
2Boa532011:411
3Paracatu52216:48
4Novo Esporte52125:57
5Tupi-MG51044:113
6Essube50051:100