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Tupi-MG vs Novo Esporte Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Tupi-MG Logo

Tupi-MG

0 - 3
FT
Novo Esporte Logo

Novo Esporte

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
38' Event
57' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2025 game between Tupi-MG and Novo Esporte finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novo Esporte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tupi-MG
20%
Draws
50%
Novo Esporte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novo Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novo Esporte come out ahead of Tupi-MG on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tupi-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Novo Esporte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupi-MG Novo Esporte
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Mineiro 3
Tupi-MG vs Novo Esporte
0:3
Sep 6, 2025 Mineiro 3
Novo Esporte vs Tupi-MG
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupi-MG 32 / 100
Novo Esporte 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupi-MG Novo Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tupi-MG scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Novo Esporte conceded in 56% of 25 recent games.

Tupi-MG went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupi-MG VS Novo Esporte
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupi-MG

(Home)
22 Nov
Boa
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
02 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
25 Oct
Tupi-MG
0 : 3
Novo Esporte
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Novo Esporte

(Away)
03 Oct
Novo Esporte
0 : 0
Venda Nova FC
26 Sept
Nova Lavras
3 : 0
Novo Esporte
19 Sept
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Novo Esporte
0 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coimbra Esporte Clube 5 4 1 0 10:3 13
2 Boa 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
3 Paracatu 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Novo Esporte 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
5 Tupi-MG 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
6 Essube 5 0 0 5 1:10 0
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Main)