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Tupy vs CA Itapemirim

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Campeonato Capixaba 2018
Tupy Logo

Tupy

0 - 3
FT
CA Itapemirim Logo

CA Itapemirim

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CA Itapemirim in this Campeonato Capixaba 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Itapemirim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tupy
15%
Draws
0%
CA Itapemirim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tupy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tupy lately — more wins on the board than CA Itapemirim.
  • Tupy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tupy Clean Sheet 20%
CA Itapemirim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupy CA Itapemirim
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.27 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2019 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Tupy
0:3
Jan 21, 2018 Capixaba
Tupy vs CA Itapemirim
0:3
Apr 22, 2017 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Tupy
1:1
Apr 15, 2017 Capixaba
Tupy vs CA Itapemirim
0:2
Mar 22, 2017 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Tupy
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupy 85 / 100
CA Itapemirim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupy CA Itapemirim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Itapemirim let in goals in 86% of their last 36 matches.

CA Itapemirim lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Tupy found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tupy VS CA Itapemirim
1.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupy

(Home)
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Aug
Rive
1 : 1
Tupy
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
25 Jul
Tupy
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
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CA Itapemirim

(Away)
11 Mar
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Vitoria ES
02 Mar
Rio Branco ES
2 : 1
CA Itapemirim
26 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Nova Venecia
15 Feb
Serra
2 : 0
CA Itapemirim
09 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serra 9 7 1 1 16:7 22
2 Real Noroeste 9 5 3 1 20:10 18
3 Galatas 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
4 Rio Branco-VN 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
5 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 3 5 1 14:8 14
6 CA Itapemirim 9 3 5 1 14:8 14
7 Vitoria ES 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
8 Tupy 9 1 2 6 7:17 5
9 Doze Futebol Clube 9 1 1 7 8:23 4
10 SAO Mateus 9 0 2 7 5:20 2
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2018 (Play Offs)