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Turan vs Sabah Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
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Match Events

12'
Aliyev S.
12'
Lepinjica I.
15' Event
Malouda A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Turan and Sabah Baku finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabah Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Turan
44%
Draws
20%
Sabah Baku
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sabah Baku come out ahead of Turan on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sabah Baku have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Turan Clean Sheet 16%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Sabah Baku
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 22
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Sabah Baku
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Sabah Baku
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Turan
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Sabah Baku
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Turan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Guseynov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Malouda A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aliyev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 36 / 100
Sabah Baku 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Sabah Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Sabah Baku has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Turan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Sabah Baku
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
22 May
Turan
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
16 May
Shamakhi
3 : 2
Turan
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
04 May
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 1
Turan
27 Apr
Turan
1 : 1
Zira FK
Page 1 of 6

Sabah Baku

(Away)
21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0
KuPS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
TNS
02 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
4 : 1
Sabah Baku
28 Jun
Ferencvaros
1 : 1
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sabah Baku33246375:2578
2Qarabag Agdam33216671:2769
3Turan33178844:2759
4Neftci Baku331611657:3259
5Zira FK331314643:3653
6Araz PFK331371344:5846
7SumQayit FK331251645:4941
8Shamakhi339111331:4038
9Imisli FK337131323:4334
10Kapaz33832225:6127
11Gabala33762032:4927
12Karvan33362423:6615
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)