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Turan vs Kapaz

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
Turan Logo

Turan

1 - 0
FT
Kapaz Logo

Kapaz

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Silva J.
36'
Silva J.
41'
Wadji I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Turan
30%
Draws
33%
Kapaz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Turan lately — more wins on the board than Kapaz.
  • Win probability leans Turan's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Turan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Turan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Kapaz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.27 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Kapaz vs Turan
0:2
Feb 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Turan vs Kapaz
1:0
Dec 19, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Turan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurtado H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Kapaz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 77 / 100
Kapaz 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Kapaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kapaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Turan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Kapaz
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
Page 1 of 6

Kapaz

(Away)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sabail 0
Shamakhi 1
Goygol 0
Baku Sporting 2
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
Karvan 3
Sheki City 1
Lokbatan 2
Imisli FK 3
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
Gabala 5
Mingachevir 1
Gancabasar 0
Safa Baku 3
Shimal 0
Sahdag Qusar 2
Dinamo Baki 0
Turan 5
Araz PFK -
TBD -
Kapaz 6
Agstafa Gencleri 1
FC Khankendi 1
Difai Agsu 2
Zaqatala PFK 0
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK -
TBD -
Neftci Baku 6
MOIK Baku 2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi 1
Baku Sporting 0
Qarabag Agdam 3
Karvan 0
Imisli FK 1
Sabah Baku 2
Gabala 2
Safa Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 1
Turan 2
Araz PFK 0
Kapaz 1
Difai Agsu 1
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK 1
Neftci Baku 0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi 3
Qarabag Agdam 4
Sabah Baku 4
Gabala 3
Turan 3
Kapaz 0
SumQayit FK 0
Zira FK 2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam 3
Sabah Baku 4
Turan 0
Zira FK 2
Final
Sabah Baku 2
Zira FK 1