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Turan vs Taraz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kalybayev D.
35' Event
Mukhametzhanov A.
Assist: Nuraly M.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Turan and Taraz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taraz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Turan
6%
Draws
4%
Taraz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Turan haven't matched Taraz's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Turan taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Turan Clean Sheet 20%
Taraz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Taraz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 First League
Turan vs Taraz
0:2
Oct 31, 2023 First League
Turan vs Taraz
1:1
Apr 7, 2023 First League
Taraz vs Turan
0:1
Nov 6, 2022 Premier League
Taraz vs Turan
2:3
Mar 5, 2022 Premier League
Turan vs Taraz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalybayev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mukhametzhanov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 85 / 100
Taraz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Taraz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Turan scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Taraz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Turan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Taraz
2.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
30 Jul
Khan Tengri
0 : 1
Turan
24 Jul
Turan
2 : 1
Tobol 2
16 Jul
Arys
0 : 4
Turan
10 Jul
Shakhter Karagandy
1 : 0
Turan
03 Jul
Turan
2 : 2
Jaiyq
Page 1 of 6

Taraz

(Away)
30 Jul
Taraz
2 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
24 Jul
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Taraz
16 Jul
Taraz
1 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 0
Taraz
03 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 16 14 1 1 44:6 43
2 Kairat Almaty 2 16 13 3 0 56:9 42
3 Turan 16 11 1 4 32:12 34
4 FC Astana 2 16 8 2 6 28:24 26
5 Akademiya Ontustik 16 8 2 6 25:22 26
6 Taraz 16 7 2 7 23:21 23
7 Jaiyq 16 7 2 7 15:20 23
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 16 6 3 7 25:29 21
9 FC Ekibastuz 16 5 5 6 19:30 20
10 Khan Tengri 16 5 2 9 18:29 17
11 Aktobe 2 16 4 5 7 28:50 17
12 Arys 16 3 1 12 16:38 10
13 Yelimay Semey 2 16 2 3 11 12:30 9
14 Tobol 2 16 1 4 11 24:45 7
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