Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turgutlu vs K. Istklalspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ceylan F.
48'
Colgecen E.
70'
Erol O.

AI Match Summary

Turgutlu in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turgutlu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Turgutlu
22%
Draws
60%
K. Istklalspor
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: K. Istklalspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • K. Istklalspor have won more games recently than Turgutlu.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on K. Istklalspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 10%
K. Istklalspor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turgutlu K. Istklalspor
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0 3.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Turgutlu vs K. Istklalspor
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
K. Istklalspor vs Turgutlu
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceylan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

K. Istklalspor Compare

Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turgutlu 18 / 100
K. Istklalspor 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turgutlu K. Istklalspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick K. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turgutlu scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Turgutlu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

K. Istklalspor has conceded goals in 56% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS K. Istklalspor
0 Goals Scored 3.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mardin 196930207364:2467
2Sebat Spor Kulubu30214573:2867
3Agri 197030177642:2758
4Zonguldak Komurspor30176741:2857
5K. Istklalspor30168655:2656
6Kirikkale FK30166844:3154
7Orduspor 196730165961:3353
8Gemlikspor301011938:2941
9Erciyes 3830971435:4834
101926 Polatli Belediye30781537:5829
11Izmir Coruhlu30771641:5828
12Nigde30691530:5327
13Edirnespor Genclik30571828:6222
14Tepecik30491724:5421
15Denizlispor305121327:5521
16Turgutlu30471934:6019