Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turkmenistan vs Chinese Taipei

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Ashgabat Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Myratberdiyev R.
Assist: Charyyev T.
45' Event
Kouame A.
Assist: Estevez E.
53' Event
Tagayev E.
Assist: Mammedov Y.

AI Match Summary

The Asian Cup game between Turkmenistan and Chinese Taipei finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turkmenistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Turkmenistan
6%
Draws
4%
Chinese Taipei
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Turkmenistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chinese Taipei's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Turkmenistan have produced (1).
  • Model gives Turkmenistan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in Asian Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Turkmenistan here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Turkmenistan Clean Sheet 68%
Chinese Taipei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkmenistan Chinese Taipei
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Asian Cup
Turkmenistan vs Chinese Taipei
3:1
Mar 25, 2025 Asian Cup
Chinese Taipei vs Turkmenistan
1:2
Nov 14, 2017 Asian Cup
Turkmenistan vs Chinese Taipei
2:1
Mar 26, 2017 Asian Cup
Chinese Taipei vs Turkmenistan
1:3
Mar 23, 2011 AFC Challenge Cup
Chinese Taipei vs Turkmenistan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkmenistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Myratberdiyev R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tagayev E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chinese Taipei Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouame A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkmenistan 95 / 100
Chinese Taipei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkmenistan Chinese Taipei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TKM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chinese Taipei conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Chinese Taipei's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Turkmenistan scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Turkmenistan VS Chinese Taipei
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

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4Timor-Leste61054:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
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2Lebanon641114:213
3Bhutan61144:164
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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Singapore64208:414
2Hong Kong62228:88
3Bangladesh61236:85
4India61234:65
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thailand650116:515
2Turkmenistan640211:712
3Sri Lanka63038:99
4Chinese Taipei60065:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Syria660021:218
2Myanmar64028:1112
3Afghanistan60244:112
4Pakistan60242:112
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam660017:218
2Malaysia630310:109
3Laos62044:166
4Nepal61055:83