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Turriff United vs Keith

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turriff United play Keith in the Highland League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Turriff United averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Keith averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Turriff United won 2, Keith won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Turriff United and 1.75 for Keith. This points to a Keith double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Turriff United
21%
Draws
44%
Keith
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Turriff United picked up more points recently compared to Keith.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Turriff United Clean Sheet 12%
Keith Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turriff United Keith
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Highland League
Turriff United vs Keith
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Turriff United
0:0
Dec 28, 2024 Highland League
Turriff United vs Keith
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Turriff United
0:1
Feb 14, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Turriff United
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turriff United 34 / 100
Keith 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turriff United Keith

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Keith or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turriff United attacking → ← attacking Keith

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turriff United scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Keith let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Turriff United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Keith lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 57
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
2Brechin34235678:2374
3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
4Fraserburgh34215875:3968
5Clachnacuddin34187978:4061
6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
8Buckie Thistle341651362:4753
9Nairn County341541556:5249
10Turriff United341391260:5048
11Huntly3411101346:4343
12Forres Mechanics341171652:6740
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