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Tusker vs KCB

Kenya Kenya

FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Sat, May 16, 2026
1 - 0
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
(Penalty)
3' Event
(Penalty)
3' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Tusker in this FKF Mozzart Bet Cup tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tusker
20%
Draws
38%
KCB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tusker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tusker lately — more wins on the board than KCB.
  • Tusker are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Tusker have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor KCB, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Tusker Clean Sheet 68%
KCB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tusker KCB
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Tusker vs KCB
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
KCB vs Tusker
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Tusker vs KCB
0:2
Feb 2, 2025 Premier League
Tusker vs KCB
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
KCB vs Tusker
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tusker 51 / 100
KCB 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tusker KCB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tusker's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: KCB conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Tusker remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tusker VS KCB
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tusker

(Home)
01 Aug
Tusker
2 : 0
KVZ
29 Jul
Tusker
0 : 1
Rayon Sport
26 Jul
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 0
Tusker
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
Page 1 of 6

KCB

(Away)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2
KCB
23 May
KCB
0 : 1
Posta Rangers
16 May
Tusker
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kakamega Homeboyz0
Ulinzi Stars1
Tusker1
Kariobangi Sharks0
Posta Rangers0
Nairobi United2
KCB3
Chebaiywa Lions0
KUTA Collection0
Shabana1
Police FC1
BB Bread0
3K FC0
Bandari2
Mfalme5
Muranga1
Quarter-finals
Ulinzi Stars1
Tusker2
Nairobi United0
KCB1
Shabana0
Police FC1
Bandari5
Mfalme2
Semi-finals
Tusker1
KCB0
Police FC1
Bandari0
Final
Tusker2
Police FC1
KCB0
Bandari2