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Tuvalu vs New Caledonia

World World

Friendly International 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2017 game between Tuvalu and New Caledonia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuvalu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tuvalu
6%
Draws
90%
New Caledonia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Caledonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Caledonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans New Caledonia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • New Caledonia have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tuvalu Clean Sheet 20%
New Caledonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuvalu New Caledonia
Matches Played 18 23
Wins 4 13
Draws 2 1
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 4 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2019 Pacific Games
New Caledonia vs Tuvalu
11:0
Dec 5, 2017 Friendly International
Tuvalu vs New Caledonia
2:1
Aug 28, 2007 World Championship
Tuvalu vs New Caledonia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuvalu 10 / 100
New Caledonia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuvalu New Caledonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

New Caledonia let in goals in 61% of their last 23 matches.

Tuvalu scored in 44% of their last 18 games.

Recent resilience: Tuvalu stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuvalu VS New Caledonia
4 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 25%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuvalu

(Home)
30 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 4
Tuvalu
27 Nov
Tonga
0 : 4
Tuvalu
20 Nov
Tuvalu
0 : 6
Vanuatu
17 Nov
Papua New Guinea
3 : 0
Tuvalu
17 Jul
New Caledonia
11 : 0
Tuvalu
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New Caledonia

(Away)
27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1
Jamaica
08 Oct
Gibraltar
0 : 2
New Caledonia
24 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 3
New Zealand
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0
Tahiti
17 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1
New Caledonia
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