Sport Picks
TVD Velbert vs SSVg Velbert
Germany
Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 
Match Events
19'
19'
Hemcke B.
45'
45'
Buzolli A.
45'
45'
Machtemes M.
AI Match Summary
SSVg Velbert in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored SSVg Velbert.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SSVg Velbert
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- SSVg Velbert have won more games recently than TVD Velbert.
- Model gives SSVg Velbert a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors SSVg Velbert here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 20%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TVD Velbert | SSVg Velbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 20 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.27 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs SSVg Velbert
2:4
Oct 25, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert vs TVD Velbert
4:0
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
SSVg Velbert vs TVD Velbert
4:2
Mar 3, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert vs TVD Velbert
1:0
Sep 4, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs SSVg Velbert
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TVD Velbert Compare
Top Goalscorer Kapenda J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Agbo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
SSVg Velbert Compare
Top Goalscorer Hemcke B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Buzolli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TVD Velbert 10 / 100
SSVg Velbert 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TVD Velbert SSVg Velbert
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SSVg Velbert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
TVD Velbert's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
SSVg Velbert's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Solid form: TVD Velbert remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS SSVg Velbert
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
TVD Velbert
(Home) 01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5 FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0 TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8 SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3 TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5 Meerbusch
Page 1 of 6
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5 FC Monheim
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8 SC St.Tonis
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5 Meerbusch
17 Apr
TVD Velbert
2 : 4 SSVg Velbert
06 Apr
TVD Velbert
1 : 3 Baumberg
Page 1 of 3
SSVg Velbert
(Away) 20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3 SSVg Velbert
12 Sept
SSVg Velbert
2 : 1 Buderich
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2 SSVg Velbert
28 Aug
SSVg Velbert
3 : 5 Schonnebeck
22 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 4 SSVg Velbert
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3 SSVg Velbert
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2 SSVg Velbert
22 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 4 SSVg Velbert
12 Jul
Sprockhovel
2 : 6 SSVg Velbert
05 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
2 : 1 SSVg Velbert
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SSVg Velbert | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 82:31 | 74 |
| 2 | Schonnebeck | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 108:39 | 72 |
| 3 | SW Essen | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 74:42 | 69 |
| 4 | SC St.Tonis | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 95:45 | 68 |
| 5 | Homberg | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 67:46 | 62 |
| 6 | Hilden | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 65:43 | 60 |
| 7 | Buderich | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 79:74 | 53 |
| 8 | Sonsbeck | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 52:63 | 45 |
| 9 | Germania Ratingen | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 48:54 | 44 |
| 10 | Meerbusch | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 63:63 | 43 |
| 11 | SV Biemenhorst | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50:75 | 42 |
| 12 | FC Monheim | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 55:64 | 38 |
| 13 | Kleve | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 45:53 | 37 |
| 14 | Baumberg | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 47:72 | 35 |
| 15 | Union Nettetal | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 44:73 | 30 |
| 16 | SF Niederwenigern | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 43:70 | 29 |
| 17 | Mulheimer FC 97 | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 45:88 | 28 |
| 18 | TVD Velbert | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 41:108 | 24 |
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)
