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Twente vs Zwolle

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Twente host Zwolle in the Eredivisie. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Twente at 1.75 goals for, 1.25 against; Zwolle at 1.17 for, 1.83 against. Head-to-head, Twente have won 1 to Zwolle's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.79 xG vs 1.21) point toward Twente. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Twente
22%
Draws
18%
Zwolle
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Twente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Twente have won more games recently than Zwolle.
  • Twente are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Twente Clean Sheet 20%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Twente Zwolle
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Eredivisie
Twente vs Zwolle
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Twente
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Twente
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Eredivisie
Twente vs Zwolle
1:1
May 19, 2024 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Twente
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Twente 58 / 100
Zwolle 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Twente Zwolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TWE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Twente's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Zwolle has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Twente stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Twente VS Zwolle
1.75 Goals Scored 1.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Twente

(Home)
24 Jul
FC Emmen
0 : 3
Twente
23 Jul
Twente
1 : 2
Ferencvaros
18 Jul
Twente
0 : 2
Gent
18 Jul
Twente
2 : 2
Gent
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
Page 1 of 6

Zwolle

(Away)
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3
AEK
18 Jul
Zwolle
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
11 Jul
Zwolle
0 : 1
Al Jazira
17 May
Zwolle
0 : 2
Feyenoord
10 May
Sittard
3 : 2
Zwolle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cambuur00000:00
2Sittard00000:00
3Telstar00000:00
4Zwolle00000:00
5PSV00000:00
6Ajax00000:00
7Twente00000:00
8Heerenveen00000:00
9Feyenoord00000:00
10Nijmegen00000:00
11Utrecht00000:00
12AZ Alkmaar00000:00
13Sparta Rotterdam00000:00
14Willem II00000:00
15Excelsior00000:00
16Den Haag00000:00
17G.A. Eagles00000:00
18Groningen00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)