Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Claro Arena

Cruzeiro

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica play Cruzeiro in the Copa Libertadores. It looks like a close match. Recently, U. Catolica averaged 2.21 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Cruzeiro averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, U. Catolica won 1, Cruzeiro won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 7, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.66 for U. Catolica and 1.04 for Cruzeiro. This points to a U. Catolica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

U. Catolica

24%

Draws

34%

Cruzeiro

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

U. Catolica picked up more points recently compared to Cruzeiro.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.66 vs 1.04 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 22%

Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. Catolica	Cruzeiro
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	19	15
Draws	4	9
Losses	6	5
Goals Scored	2.21	1.45
Goals Conceded	1.07	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores

U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Cruzeiro vs U. Catolica

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 42 / 100

Cruzeiro 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. Catolica Cruzeiro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: U. Catolica or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

U. Catolica attacking → ← attacking Cruzeiro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Cruzeiro let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

U. Catolica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cruzeiro lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 54

2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.57

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.57

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	6	5	1	0	14:2	16
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
3	Ind. Medellin	6	2	1	3	6:11	7
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	4:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Deportes Tolima	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
3	Club Nacional	6	2	2	2	7:9	8
4	Universitario de Deportes	6	1	3	2	5:6	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	6	5	1	0	15:6	16
2	Fluminense	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Bolivar	6	1	2	3	6:8	5
4	Deportivo La Guaira	6	0	3	3	6:13	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	6	4	1	1	8:4	13
2	Cruzeiro	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Boca Juniors	6	2	1	3	6:5	7
4	Barcelona SC	6	1	0	5	2:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Platense	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
3	Santa Fe	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
4	Penarol	6	0	3	3	4:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	6	4	1	1	6:2	13
2	Palmeiras	6	3	2	1	10:5	11
3	Sporting Cristal	6	2	0	4	6:9	6
4	Junior	6	1	1	4	5:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	LDU Quito	6	4	2	8:5	12
2	Mirassol	6	4	2	7:4	12
3	Lanus	6	3	3	3:7	9
4	Always Ready	6	1	5	7:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	Rosario Central	6	4	1	1	9:1	13
3	Universidad Central	6	3	0	3	7:11	9
4	Libertad Asuncion	6	0	0	6	4:13	0