Sport Picks
U. Catolica vs Independiente del Valle
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito 
Match Events
3'
3'
Pata E.
8'
8'
Anangono G.
Own Goal
16'
16'
Pata E.
Assist: Sornoza J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Pro game between U. Catolica and Independiente del Valle finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente del Valle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Catolica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- U. Catolica haven't matched Independiente del Valle's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 16%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | U. Catolica | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 23 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs U. Catolica
2:2
May 13, 2026 Super Cup
U. Catolica vs Independiente del Valle
0:3
May 1, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Independiente del Valle
2:3
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Independiente del Valle
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs U. Catolica
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
U. Catolica Compare
Top Goalscorer Clavijo E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sevillano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Independiente del Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Pata E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
U. Catolica 30 / 100
Independiente del Valle 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
U. Catolica Independiente del Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: U. Catolica scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
U. Catolica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Independiente del Valle let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
U. Catolica VS Independiente del Valle
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
U. Catolica
(Home) 20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1 U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1 Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1 U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1 U. Catolica
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1 Aucas
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1 Orense
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1 Aucas
22 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 1 Manta
01 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 0 Tecnico U.
22 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 1 Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 3
Independiente del Valle
(Away) 18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
22 Aug
Leones del Norte
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
19 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
