Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

LDU Quito

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica play LDU Quito in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, U. Catolica averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. LDU Quito averaged 1.46 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, U. Catolica won 2, LDU Quito won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for U. Catolica and 1.75 for LDU Quito. This points to a LDU Quito double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

U. Catolica

29%

Draws

39%

LDU Quito

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

U. Catolica picked up more points recently compared to LDU Quito.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 12%

LDU Quito Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. Catolica	LDU Quito
Matches Played	31	35
Wins	10	18
Draws	10	6
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.42	1.46
Goals Conceded	1.26	0.94
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga Pro

LDU Quito vs U. Catolica

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Dec 21, 2025 Liga Pro

LDU Quito vs U. Catolica

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Dec 19, 2025 Copa Ecuador

LDU Quito vs U. Catolica

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Oct 5, 2025 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs LDU Quito

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Sep 21, 2025 Liga Pro

LDU Quito vs U. Catolica

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 31 / 100

LDU Quito 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. Catolica LDU Quito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: LDU Quito or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

U. Catolica attacking → ← attacking LDU Quito

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

LDU Quito let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

U. Catolica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

LDU Quito lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 60

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	17	13	1	3	36:18	40
2	Barcelona SC	17	8	5	4	20:13	29
3	LDU Quito	17	8	3	6	19:14	27
4	Dep. Cuenca	17	8	3	6	18:19	27
5	U. Catolica	17	7	5	5	28:17	26
6	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	26
7	Tecnico U.	17	7	2	8	19:17	23
8	Macara	17	6	5	6	16:18	23
9	Emelec	17	6	5	6	14:17	23
10	Orense	17	6	4	7	22:24	22
11	Mushuc Runa	17	5	6	6	22:23	21
12	Leones del Norte	17	5	5	7	18:19	20
13	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	19
14	Delfin	17	4	5	8	9:16	17
15	Libertad	17	4	5	8	17:25	17
16	Manta	17	3	3	11	7:23	12