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U. Madeira vs AD Limianos Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 Centro Desportivo da Madeira, Ribeira Brava
Sun, Dec 12, 2021
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

U. Madeira host AD Limianos in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022. AD Limianos are expected to control this from the start. AD Limianos have shipped 1.2 goals a game lately, while U. Madeira have conceded 3.78 and scored 0.33. Past meetings favor AD Limianos slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 12, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.43, favoring AD Limianos. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
U. Madeira
30%
Draws
64%
AD Limianos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • AD Limianos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AD Limianos are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
U. Madeira Clean Sheet 17%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Madeira AD Limianos
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 0 14
Draws 1 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.33 1.77
Goals Conceded 3.78 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
U. Madeira vs AD Limianos
0:0
Sep 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs U. Madeira
8:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Madeira 20 / 100
AD Limianos 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Madeira AD Limianos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Limianos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

AD Limianos has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

U. Madeira scored in 33% of their last 9 games.

Recent resilience: U. Madeira stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Limianos
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Madeira

(Home)
21 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Merelinense
14 Nov
Camacha
5 : 0
U. Madeira
07 Nov
U. Madeira
1 : 1
SC Vianense
01 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Oct
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Forjaes
Page 1 of 2

AD Limianos

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 18 13 3 2 40:18 42
2 Maritimo B 18 11 5 2 38:20 38
3 AD Limianos 18 9 4 5 30:22 31
4 Maria de Fonte 18 8 3 7 24:21 27
5 Pedras Salgadas 18 7 5 6 22:22 26
6 Camacha 18 7 4 7 25:22 25
7 SC Vianense 18 7 1 10 23:29 22
8 Merelinense 18 5 4 9 24:30 19
9 Forjaes 18 3 4 11 27:46 13
10 Camara de Lobos 18 3 1 14 20:43 10
11 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)