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UAI Urquiza W vs El Porvenir W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Falfan D.
24' Event
Merlo K.
35' Event
Diaz M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A Women 2023 game between UAI Urquiza W and El Porvenir W finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UAI Urquiza W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UAI Urquiza W
6%
Draws
4%
El Porvenir W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UAI Urquiza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UAI Urquiza W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans UAI Urquiza W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera A Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UAI Urquiza W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
UAI Urquiza W Clean Sheet 68%
El Porvenir W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UAI Urquiza W El Porvenir W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Primera A Women
UAI Urquiza W vs El Porvenir W
7:2
Apr 19, 2022 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs UAI Urquiza W
1:4
Jul 5, 2021 Primera A Women
UAI Urquiza W vs El Porvenir W
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UAI Urquiza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Falfan D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez R.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

El Porvenir W Compare

Top Goalscorer Merlo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UAI Urquiza W 95 / 100
El Porvenir W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UAI Urquiza W El Porvenir W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: El Porvenir W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 7.33 goals as a typical output.

UAI Urquiza W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

UAI Urquiza W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UAI Urquiza W VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UAI Urquiza W

(Home)
10 Dec
UAI Urquiza W
2 : 1
Social Atletico Television W
23 Nov
Newells Old Boys W
2 : 1
UAI Urquiza W
16 Nov
UAI Urquiza W
2 : 1
San Luis W
08 Nov
Platense W
0 : 2
UAI Urquiza W
01 Nov
UAI Urquiza W
7 : 0
Excursionistas W
Page 1 of 7

El Porvenir W

(Away)
30 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 3
Lanus W
26 Nov
Boca Juniors W
3 : 0
El Porvenir W
13 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 0
Huracan W
17 Oct
Excursionistas W
1 : 0
El Porvenir W
09 Oct
CA Estudiantes W
1 : 2
El Porvenir W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boca Juniors W19153143:748
2UAI Urquiza W19153142:848
3Rosario Central W19134232:843
4River Plate W19113529:1536
5Platense W19105424:1835
6Racing Club W19101827:1631
7CA Independiente W1993723:1630
8San Lorenzo W1985626:2229
9CA Belgrano de Cordoba W1991926:1828
10Huracan W1969416:1527
11Excursionistas W1966720:2624
12CA Banfield W19721017:2223
13Gimnasia L.P. W1957720:2022
14Social Atletico Television W1957718:2422
15CA Estudiantes W19631023:2921
16Ferro W19621120:2520
17Estudiantes L.P. W19361014:3215
18El Porvenir W19431216:4215
19Defensores de Belgrano W1922158:468
20Lanus W19211610:457
Promotion - Primera A Women 2023 (Additional match)