Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Dublin vs Athlone

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 UCD Bowl, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Cailloce L.
Own Goal
45' Event
Smith H.
46'
Sub
Curtis H. In: Holohan N.
Out: Curtis H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between UC Dublin and Athlone finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
UC Dublin
35%
Draws
44%
Athlone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UC Dublin come out ahead of Athlone on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 16%
Athlone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Athlone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Athlone
2:2
Jul 31, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs UC Dublin
0:0
May 29, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Athlone
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs UC Dublin
0:2
Oct 10, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Athlone
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akinrintayo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferry P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 36 / 100
Athlone 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Athlone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UC Dublin scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Athlone has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: UC Dublin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UC Dublin VS Athlone
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Dublin

(Home)
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
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Athlone

(Away)
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
21 Aug
Wexford
0 : 2
Athlone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 32 14 8 10 61:44 50
3 UC Dublin 32 14 7 11 56:45 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 32 13 6 13 39:46 45
5 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
6 Athlone 32 12 8 12 36:36 44
7 Kerry 32 11 9 12 39:39 42
8 Wexford 32 11 7 14 37:47 40
9 Treaty United 32 8 9 15 31:47 33
10 Finn Harps 32 6 7 19 29:64 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)