Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Dublin vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 UCD Bowl, Dublin
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UC Dublin host Longford in the Division 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: UC Dublin at 1.83 goals for, 1.48 against; Longford at 1.59 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor UC Dublin slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.63) back UC Dublin to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
UC Dublin
35%
Draws
35%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • UC Dublin's 1.83 goals per match outpaces what Longford have produced (1.59).
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 14%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Longford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
2:1
May 1, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 35 / 100
Longford 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Longford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

UC Dublin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UC Dublin VS Longford
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Dublin

(Home)
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
Page 1 of 6

Longford

(Away)
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2
Longford
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 32 14 8 10 61:44 50
3 UC Dublin 32 14 7 11 56:45 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 32 13 6 13 39:46 45
5 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
6 Athlone 32 12 8 12 36:36 44
7 Kerry 32 11 9 12 39:39 42
8 Wexford 32 11 7 14 37:47 40
9 Treaty United 32 8 9 15 31:47 33
10 Finn Harps 32 6 7 19 29:64 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)