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UCAM Murcia vs CF Intercity Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Monterde J.
45' Event
Hernaiz A.
90' Event
Carrillo J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 game between UCAM Murcia and CF Intercity finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Intercity.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
UCAM Murcia
20%
Draws
38%
CF Intercity
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UCAM Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • CF Intercity haven't matched UCAM Murcia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives UCAM Murcia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
CF Intercity Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia CF Intercity
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UCAM Murcia vs CF Intercity
1:2
Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs CF Intercity
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CF Intercity Compare

Top Goalscorer Monterde J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernaiz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 77 / 100
CF Intercity 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia CF Intercity

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CF Intercity's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: UCAM Murcia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS CF Intercity
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

(Home)
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
CF Intercity
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
08 Aug
UCAM Murcia
7 : 2
Orihuela
Page 1 of 6

CF Intercity

(Away)
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
CF Intercity
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0
CF Intercity
13 Sept
CF Intercity
2 : 2
Baleares
05 Sept
Castellon B
1 : 2
CF Intercity
14 Aug
CF Intercity
0 : 1
Levante B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Nucia 4 4 0 0 9:1 12
2 Castellon B 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
4 Castellonense 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 CF Intercity 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
6 Alcoyano 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Yeclano 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 Orihuela 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
9 Ciudad Cieza 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
11 Deportiva Minera 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
13 Ilicitano 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
14 UD Poblense 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
15 Real Murcia B 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
16 Baleares 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
17 Valencia B 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
18 Pena Deportiva 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)