Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Constancia in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constancia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Constancia lately — more wins on the board than UD Alaro.
- Constancia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Constancia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
UD Alaro Clean Sheet 14%
Constancia Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Alaro | Constancia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.37 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs UD Alaro
1:0
Oct 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Constancia
1:1
Apr 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Constancia
1:2
Nov 29, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs UD Alaro
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Alaro 10 / 100
Constancia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Alaro Constancia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
UD Alaro scored in 33% of their last 30 games.
Constancia let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Constancia lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Constancia
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Alaro
(Home) 15 May
Collerense
3 : 0 UD Alaro
07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4 Alcudia
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0 UD Alaro
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1 Mercadal
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0 UD Alaro
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07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4 Alcudia
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1 Mercadal
09 Apr
UD Alaro
1 : 2 Ferriolense
19 Mar
UD Alaro
0 : 1 CD Montuiri
01 Mar
UD Alaro
0 : 1 Esporles
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Constancia
(Away) 20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0 Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
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20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0 Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1 Constancia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Formentera | 38 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 41:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Llosetense | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 57:40 | 72 |
| 4 | Mercadal | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:32 | 67 |
| 5 | Constancia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 64:42 | 66 |
| 6 | UD Poblense | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 64:37 | 66 |
| 7 | Binissalem | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 63:33 | 66 |
| 8 | Soller | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 9 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 43:50 | 50 |
| 10 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:43 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 34:44 | 43 |
| 13 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:52 | 43 |
| 14 | UD Alaro | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 44:55 | 42 |
| 15 | Alcudia | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 32:52 | 42 |
| 16 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 7 | 20 | 11 | 32:41 | 41 |
| 18 | CD Son Cladera | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30:65 | 35 |
| 19 | Manacor | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:65 | 31 |
| 20 | Atletico Rafal | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 37:73 | 26 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
