Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Ibiza vs FC Cartagena SAD

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadi Municipal de Can Misses, Ibiza
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Valls T.
10' Event
Eslava J.
12'
Kembo Y.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between UD Ibiza and FC Cartagena SAD finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
UD Ibiza
28%
Draws
22%
FC Cartagena SAD
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: UD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Cartagena SAD come out ahead of UD Ibiza on wins alone.
  • UD Ibiza are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
UD Ibiza Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ibiza FC Cartagena SAD
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UD Ibiza vs FC Cartagena SAD
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs UD Ibiza
1:4
Jan 29, 2023 LaLiga2
UD Ibiza vs FC Cartagena SAD
2:2
Oct 16, 2022 LaLiga2
FC Cartagena SAD vs UD Ibiza
2:0
Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
UD Ibiza vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Valls T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eslava J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Redondo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ibiza 59 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ibiza FC Cartagena SAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: FC Cartagena SAD conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: UD Ibiza remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

UD Ibiza found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

UD Ibiza VS FC Cartagena SAD
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ibiza

(Home)
23 May
CE Europa
3 : 2
UD Ibiza
16 May
UD Ibiza
3 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
09 May
Hercules
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
03 May
UD Ibiza
4 : 0
Sanluqueno
25 Apr
Villarreal B
0 : 0
UD Ibiza
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FC Cartagena SAD

(Away)
23 May
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 2
Betis B
16 May
UD Ibiza
3 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
08 May
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 1
Alcorcon
01 May
Algeciras
2 : 2
FC Cartagena SAD
26 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eldense381912757:3969
2Sabadell381814653:2768
3Atl. Madrid B381910964:4467
4Villarreal B381615754:3263
5CE Europa3816121055:5060
6FC Cartagena SAD3815121137:3857
7Antequera381681447:4456
8Algeciras3815101340:4155
9Hercules3814121243:4154
10Murcia3814101443:4052
11Alcorcon3812151144:3851
12UD Ibiza3813111444:3850
13Teruel3812131327:3349
14Gimnastic de Tarragona381381740:4947
15Torremolinos3811131445:5146
16Betis B381291748:5945
17Tarazona3811121531:4045
18Marbella38972236:5534
19Sanluqueno387102127:5331
20Sevilla B385132021:4428
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)