Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022

UD Los Garres

1 - 1

Ciudad de Murcia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 game between UD Los Garres and Ciudad de Murcia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

UD Los Garres

44%

Draws

20%

Ciudad de Murcia

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Ciudad de Murcia carry the better recent record into this one.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

UD Los Garres Clean Sheet 22%

Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Los Garres	Ciudad de Murcia
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	3	7
Draws	4	9
Losses	23	16
Goals Scored	1	0.38
Goals Conceded	1.8	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.80	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

UD Los Garres vs Ciudad de Murcia

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Oct 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Ciudad de Murcia vs UD Los Garres

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Feb 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Ciudad de Murcia vs UD Los Garres

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Sep 22, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

UD Los Garres vs Ciudad de Murcia

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Ciudad de Murcia vs UD Los Garres

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Los Garres 37 / 100

Ciudad de Murcia 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Los Garres Ciudad de Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ciudad de Murcia conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

UD Los Garres found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

UD Los Garres went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Los Garres VS Ciudad de Murcia

1 Goals Scored 0.38

1.8 Goals Conceded 1.13

80% Over 1.5 25%

60% Over 2.5 25%

40% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Yeclano	34	24	8	2	71:21	80
2	FC Cartagena SAD B	34	17	9	8	61:32	60
3	Racing Murcia	34	15	12	7	48:27	57
4	UCAM Murcia B	34	15	9	10	49:34	54
5	La Union (Malacitano)	34	15	9	10	44:31	54
6	Lorca Deportiva	34	15	10	9	52:42	53
7	Real Murcia B	34	14	9	11	49:46	51
8	Caravaca	34	13	11	10	44:40	50
9	Ciudad de Murcia	34	13	8	13	47:45	47
10	Bullense	34	12	7	15	34:50	43
11	E.G. El Palmar	34	11	10	13	41:44	43
12	Archena Sport	34	12	7	15	48:49	43
13	Deportiva Minera	34	12	6	16	39:51	42
14	Bala Azul	34	10	10	14	30:45	40
15	Cartagena FC UCAM	34	10	8	16	35:49	38
16	Mazarron CF	34	10	7	17	33:48	37
17	Huercal-Overa CF	34	5	10	19	26:54	25
18	UD Los Garres	34	4	8	22	23:66	20