Sport Picks
UD Poblense vs El Espinar Sant Rafel Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 game between UD Poblense and El Espinar Sant Rafel finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Espinar Sant Rafel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Poblense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- UD Poblense carry the better recent record into this one.
- UD Poblense are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 68%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Poblense | El Espinar Sant Rafel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 31 |
| Wins | 19 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:2
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs UD Poblense
0:2
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs UD Poblense
0:0
Oct 26, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:0
Mar 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs UD Poblense
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Poblense 86 / 100
El Espinar Sant Rafel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Poblense El Espinar Sant Rafel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Poblense's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
El Espinar Sant Rafel has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
El Espinar Sant Rafel lost 3 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
UD Poblense VS El Espinar Sant Rafel
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Poblense
(Home) 04 Oct
Baleares
2 : 1 UD Poblense
27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Valencia B
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0 UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0 UD Poblense
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27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Valencia B
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Castellonense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Aguilas FC
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1 Numancia
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El Espinar Sant Rafel
(Away) 27 Sept
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 5 Prat
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1 Murense
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3 Rotlet Molinar
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
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24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Mar
UD Poblense
1 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
16 Mar
Collerense
2 : 1 El Espinar Sant Rafel
12 Mar
Llosetense
1 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 40 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 105:27 | 101 |
| 2 | Manacor | 40 | 26 | 4 | 10 | 74:42 | 82 |
| 3 | UD Poblense | 40 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 89:24 | 80 |
| 4 | Platges de Calvia | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 56:27 | 77 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 40 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 62:36 | 75 |
| 6 | Santanyi | 40 | 23 | 6 | 11 | 66:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Constancia | 40 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 54:38 | 69 |
| 8 | PE Sant Jordi | 40 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 57:46 | 68 |
| 9 | Portmany | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 55:51 | 62 |
| 10 | Collerense | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 45:49 | 58 |
| 11 | Soller | 40 | 16 | 9 | 15 | 46:52 | 57 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 40:44 | 51 |
| 13 | Mercadal | 40 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 54:51 | 45 |
| 14 | Inter Ibiza | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 51:62 | 43 |
| 15 | Rotlet Molinar | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 35:53 | 42 |
| 16 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Campos | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 38:64 | 40 |
| 18 | Felanitx | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 43:65 | 38 |
| 19 | Serverense | 40 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 35:74 | 31 |
| 20 | Murense | 40 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31:76 | 23 |
| 21 | Son Veri | 40 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 28:121 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
