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UD Poblense vs Mallorca

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Prats A.
31'
47'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between UD Poblense and Mallorca finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mallorca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
UD Poblense
30%
Draws
37%
Mallorca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mallorca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mallorca come out ahead of UD Poblense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mallorca here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 19%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Poblense Mallorca
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.15 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
UD Poblense vs Mallorca
0:2
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
UD Poblense vs Mallorca
0:5
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
UD Poblense vs Mallorca
0:5
Nov 16, 2022 Club Friendly
UD Poblense vs Mallorca
1:4
Jul 18, 2021 Club Friendly
UD Poblense vs Mallorca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Poblense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Mallorca Compare

Top Goalscorer Prats A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asano T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 36 / 100
Mallorca 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Poblense Mallorca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mallorca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

UD Poblense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Mallorca has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: UD Poblense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Poblense VS Mallorca
0.71 Goals Scored 2
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
29% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Poblense

(Home)
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0
UD Poblense
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1
Numancia
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Mallorca

(Away)
05 Sept
Eldense
0 : 0
Mallorca
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
AD Ceuta
24 Aug
Granada CF
2 : 0
Mallorca
15 Aug
Mallorca
2 : 0
Valladolid
08 Aug
Mallorca
1 : 1
Elversberg
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