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UD Poblense vs Valencia B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Poblense host Valencia B in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. This one's hard to separate. Valencia B have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while UD Poblense have conceded 0.96 and scored 1.04. Head-to-head, UD Poblense have won 1 to Valencia B's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.19) back UD Poblense to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
UD Poblense
30%
Draws
35%
Valencia B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Poblense lately — more wins on the board than Valencia B.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 20%
Valencia B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Poblense Valencia B
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Valencia B vs UD Poblense
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UD Poblense vs Valencia B
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 32 / 100
Valencia B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Poblense Valencia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valencia B conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

UD Poblense scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: UD Poblense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Poblense VS Valencia B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Poblense

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 6

Valencia B

(Away)
19 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 2
Castellon B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
29 Aug
Orihuela
1 : 1
Valencia B
22 Aug
Alcoyano
2 : 2
Valencia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Nucia 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Castellonense 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
3 Orihuela 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 UCAM Murcia 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
5 Castellon B 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 CF Intercity 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Deportiva Minera 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 Mallorca B 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Yeclano 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Ciudad Cieza 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Ilicitano 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
12 Alcoyano 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
13 Lorca Deportiva 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
14 Valencia B 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Pena Deportiva 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
16 Baleares 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
17 UD Poblense 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
18 Real Murcia B 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)