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UD Samano vs Castro

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between UD Samano and Castro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Samano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
UD Samano
35%
Draws
56%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castro come out ahead of UD Samano on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Castro's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%
Castro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Samano Castro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.68 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2025 Club Friendly
UD Samano vs Castro
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs UD Samano
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Castro
0:2
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs UD Samano
1:0
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Castro
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Samano 10 / 100
Castro 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Samano Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castro has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

UD Samano found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

UD Samano has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UD Samano VS Castro
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Samano

(Home)
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1
UD Samano
19 Apr
UD Samano
0 : 3
Numancia
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Castro

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
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