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UD Talavera vs Azuqueca

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 game between UD Talavera and Azuqueca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azuqueca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
UD Talavera
20%
Draws
57%
Azuqueca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azuqueca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Azuqueca's 1 goals per match outpaces what UD Talavera have produced (0.9).
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Azuqueca taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Azuqueca have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 20%
Azuqueca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Talavera Azuqueca
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 6
Draws 3 11
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Azuqueca
1:2
Sep 2, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs UD Talavera
2:1
Feb 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Azuqueca
0:1
Sep 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs UD Talavera
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Talavera 10 / 100
Azuqueca 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Talavera Azuqueca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azuqueca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azuqueca has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: UD Talavera scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: UD Talavera stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Azuqueca
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Talavera

(Home)
20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2
UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3
UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3
Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0
UD Talavera
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Azuqueca

(Away)
10 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
03 May
Marchamalo
0 : 4
Azuqueca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Azuqueca
2 : 2
Villarrubia
11 Apr
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
Azuqueca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarrobledo 38 26 8 4 67:26 86
2 UD Almansa 38 18 13 7 56:26 67
3 Azuqueca 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
4 Albacete B 38 18 13 7 60:25 67
5 Illescas 38 19 9 10 54:36 66
6 Villarrubia 38 19 9 10 69:44 66
7 Alcazar 38 18 10 10 50:34 64
8 Quintanar del Rey 38 15 9 14 57:60 54
9 Madridejos 38 13 14 11 50:49 53
10 Marchamalo 38 11 12 15 50:51 45
11 Torrijos 38 12 9 17 42:59 45
12 Manzanares 38 10 14 14 46:51 44
13 Hellin Deportivo 38 9 17 12 37:48 44
14 UD Talavera 38 10 13 15 40:46 43
15 Atletico Ibanes 38 9 16 13 35:57 43
16 Socuellamos 38 10 10 18 48:58 40
17 Tomelloso 38 11 7 20 43:57 40
18 La Gineta 38 11 6 21 41:63 39
19 CD Carranque 38 8 9 21 23:63 30
20 Puertollano B 38 7 6 25 38:78 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)