Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UE Rapitenca vs UE Tona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Salarich N.
60' Event
Morer P.
63' Event
Arques I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between UE Rapitenca and UE Tona finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UE Tona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
UE Rapitenca
15%
Draws
85%
UE Tona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • UE Tona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UE Tona are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and UE Tona have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
UE Rapitenca Clean Sheet 20%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Rapitenca UE Tona
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 13
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Rapitenca vs UE Tona
1:2
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs UE Rapitenca
1:0
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Rapitenca vs UE Tona
2:1
Nov 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs UE Rapitenca
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Rapitenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Arques I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Salarich N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morer P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Rapitenca 16 / 100
UE Tona 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Rapitenca UE Tona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Tona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Rapitenca's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

UE Tona has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Difficult form: UE Tona registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UE Tona
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Rapitenca

(Home)
11 May
UE Rapitenca
1 : 2
FC Lescala
05 May
Girona B
4 : 2
UE Rapitenca
01 May
UE Rapitenca
1 : 2
UE Tona
27 Apr
Reus FC Reddis
3 : 1
UE Rapitenca
24 Apr
UE Rapitenca
0 : 1
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 7

UE Tona

(Away)
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
02 Aug
UE Tona
2 : 1
Barcelona B
09 May
UE Tona
2 : 0
FC Lescala
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)