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UE Santa Coloma vs Lusitanos

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gomes R.
90' Event
Sanchez A.

AI Match Summary

UE Santa Coloma in this Primera Divisió 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UE Santa Coloma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
UE Santa Coloma
35%
Draws
19%
Lusitanos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UE Santa Coloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • UE Santa Coloma have won more games recently than Lusitanos.
  • Model gives UE Santa Coloma a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
UE Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 20%
Lusitanos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Santa Coloma Lusitanos
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.64 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2019 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs UE Santa Coloma
0:0
Apr 28, 2019 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Lusitanos
2:0
Apr 7, 2019 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Lusitanos
0:0
Feb 10, 2019 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs UE Santa Coloma
1:2
Nov 4, 2018 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Lusitanos
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Santa Coloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Lusitanos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Santa Coloma 49 / 100
Lusitanos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Santa Coloma Lusitanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Santa Coloma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Santa Coloma found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Lusitanos has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

UE Santa Coloma has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Lusitanos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UE Santa Coloma VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Santa Coloma

(Home)
10 May
Esperanca
3 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
30 Apr
FC Santa Coloma
3 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
25 Apr
UE Santa Coloma
0 : 0
FC Santa Coloma
18 Apr
Penya
0 : 2
UE Santa Coloma
12 Apr
UE Santa Coloma
1 : 1
Inter Escaldes
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Lusitanos

(Away)
19 Jan
Carroi
3 : 1
Lusitanos
29 May
Lusitanos
1 : 1
Carroi
22 May
Carroi
1 : 0
Lusitanos
19 May
Encamp
1 : 0
Lusitanos
11 May
Lusitanos
0 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Ordino 27 10 3 14 34:39 33
6 UE Santa Coloma 27 8 8 11 33:32 32
7 Lusitanos 27 5 6 16 22:46 21
8 Encamp 27 5 5 17 24:53 20
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2018/2019 (Relegation)