Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UFV Thalgau vs Grodig

Austria Austria

Salzburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Salzburg 2025/2026 game between UFV Thalgau and Grodig finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grodig.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
UFV Thalgau
15%
Draws
59%
Grodig
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grodig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Grodig carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Grodig's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
UFV Thalgau Clean Sheet 10%
Grodig Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UFV Thalgau Grodig
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 20
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.97 2.83
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Salzburg
UFV Thalgau vs Grodig
0:5
Sep 19, 2025 Salzburg
Grodig vs UFV Thalgau
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 Salzburg
UFV Thalgau vs Grodig
0:3
Aug 2, 2024 Salzburg
Grodig vs UFV Thalgau
3:0
May 12, 2024 Salzburg
UFV Thalgau vs Grodig
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UFV Thalgau 10 / 100
Grodig 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UFV Thalgau Grodig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grodig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UFV Thalgau's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Grodig conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

UFV Thalgau has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UFV Thalgau VS Grodig
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UFV Thalgau

(Home)
24 Sept
SAK 1914
2 : 0
UFV Thalgau
18 Sept
UFV Thalgau
1 : 3
Neumarkt
13 Sept
ATSV Salzburg
3 : 1
UFV Thalgau
08 Sept
Strasswalchen
5 : 0
UFV Thalgau
05 Sept
UFV Thalgau
3 : 1
USK Anif
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Grodig

(Away)
19 Sept
Grodig
1 : 1
Bad Leonfelden
11 Sept
Schallerbach
3 : 1
Grodig
04 Sept
Grodig
2 : 1
UFC Hallein
22 Aug
Grodig
1 : 0
Union Gurten
15 Aug
Ried (Am)
2 : 1
Grodig
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