Sport Picks

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Uganda Revenue vs Villa

Uganda Uganda

Uganda Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Yiga N.
90' Event
Begisa J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Uganda Revenue
20%
Draws
47%
Villa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villa come out ahead of Uganda Revenue on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Villa taking it.
  • Villa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Villa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Villa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 18%
Villa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda Revenue Villa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 20
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.83 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Villa
0:1
May 16, 2026 Uganda Cup
Villa vs Uganda Revenue
1:0
May 4, 2026 Uganda Cup
Uganda Revenue vs Villa
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Villa
0:0
Dec 11, 2025 Premier League
Villa vs Uganda Revenue
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda Revenue Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Yiga N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda Revenue 23 / 100
Villa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda Revenue Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda Revenue has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Uganda Revenue scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Uganda Revenue VS Villa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda Revenue

(Home)
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
04 Sept
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Villa
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Uganda Revenue
0 : 0
Kampala City
Page 1 of 6

Villa

(Away)
15 Sept
Villa
3 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
09 Sept
Villa
2 : 0
Express FC
04 Sept
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Villa
29 Aug
Villa
1 : 1
Kitara
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kitara 6
Bunyaruguru 0
Express FC 4
Red Devo 0
NEC FC 2
Lugazi 0
Vipers 4
Iganga United 0
Uganda Revenue 3
Tapoh 0
Kampala City 5
Onduparaka 0
Happy Boy 1
Six Oclock 0
Villa 1
Maroons 0
Quarter-finals
Kitara 3
Express FC 0
NEC FC 0
Vipers 1
Uganda Revenue 3
Kampala City 2
Happy Boy 0
Villa 1
Semi-finals
Kitara 1
Vipers 1
Uganda Revenue 0
Villa 3
Final
Kitara 2
Villa 1