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Stadium Background

Uganda vs Zanzibar

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uganda in this CECAFA Championship 2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uganda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Uganda
30%
Draws
47%
Zanzibar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zanzibar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Uganda at 1.38 per game, Zanzibar at 1.03.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Uganda taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CECAFA Championship 2011 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Uganda Clean Sheet 20%
Zanzibar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda Zanzibar
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Friendly International
Zanzibar vs Uganda
0:0
Dec 15, 2017 CECAFA Championship
Uganda vs Zanzibar
1:2
Nov 24, 2015 CECAFA Championship
Zanzibar vs Uganda
0:4
Nov 25, 2011 CECAFA Championship
Uganda vs Zanzibar
2:1
Dec 8, 2010 CECAFA Championship
Uganda vs Zanzibar
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda 36 / 100
Zanzibar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda Zanzibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (24 games).

Defensive concern: Zanzibar conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Uganda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uganda VS Zanzibar
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda

(Home)
30 Dec
Uganda
1 : 3
Nigeria
27 Dec
Uganda
1 : 1
Tanzania
23 Dec
Tunisia
3 : 1
Uganda
18 Nov
Morocco
4 : 0
Uganda
14 Nov
Uganda
2 : 1
Chad
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Zanzibar

(Away)
31 Jul
Zanzibar
2 : 2
Nigeria
28 Jul
Zanzibar
0 : 0
Nigeria
13 Jan
Zanzibar
2 : 1
Burkina Faso
10 Jan
Zanzibar
1 : 0
Kenya
06 Jan
Zanzibar
0 : 1
Burkina Faso
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Zimbabwe 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Tanzania 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Djibouti 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Uganda 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Zanzibar 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Somalia 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
2 Sudan 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Kenya 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Ethiopia 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - CECAFA Championship 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams