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Uirapuru vs Cacerense

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Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru Logo

Uirapuru

2 - 1
FT
Cacerense Logo

Cacerense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uirapuru in this Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uirapuru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Uirapuru
15%
Draws
54%
Cacerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cacerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cacerense lately — more wins on the board than Uirapuru.
  • Model gives Cacerense a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 17%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uirapuru Cacerense
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Cacerense
0:2
May 24, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Uirapuru
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Cacerense
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Uirapuru
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uirapuru 28 / 100
Cacerense 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uirapuru Cacerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacerense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uirapuru scored in 75% of their last 12 outings.

Cacerense let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Uirapuru stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uirapuru VS Cacerense
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uirapuru

(Home)
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
24 May
Cacerense
1 : 2
Uirapuru
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 3

Cacerense

(Away)
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 1 1 12:3 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
4 Gremio Sorriso 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
5 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uirapuru 4 3 1 0 15:4 10
2 Acao 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
3 Cacerense 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
4 Paulistano FC 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
5 Atletico MT 4 0 2 2 3:12 2
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)