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Ukraine U17 vs Poland U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U17
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Dziurynets O.
46'
Sub
Hetmanov Z. In: Fedushko A.
Out: Hetmanov Z.
46'
Sub
Laszczyk M. In: Bakhno S.
Out: Laszczyk M.

AI Match Summary

Ukraine U17 in this Euro U17 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ukraine U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ukraine U17
15%
Draws
53%
Poland U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Poland U17 lately — more wins on the board than Ukraine U17.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Poland U17 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ukraine U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Poland U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U17 Poland U17
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 12 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.69 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2026 Euro U17
Ukraine U17 vs Poland U17
3:2
Apr 23, 2022 Euro U17
Ukraine U17 vs Poland U17
2:3
Aug 30, 2013 Friendly International
Poland U17 vs Ukraine U17
3:2
Aug 31, 2011 Friendly International
Poland U17 vs Ukraine U17
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dziurynets O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rybak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Poland U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesniak T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakhno S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U17 34 / 100
Poland U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U17 Poland U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U17 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Poland U17 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Ukraine U17 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U17 VS Poland U17
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U17

(Home)
11 Nov
Ukraine U17
3 : 2
Poland U17
02 Oct
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Italy U17
29 Sept
Ukraine U17
0 : 2
Turkey U17
09 Jun
Albania U17
0 : 4
Ukraine U17
06 Jun
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Latvia U17
Page 1 of 7

Poland U17

(Away)
11 Nov
Ukraine U17
3 : 2
Poland U17
30 Sept
Poland U17
3 : 1
Georgia U17
27 Sept
Poland U17
2 : 1
Ireland U17
25 Sept
Poland U17
4 : 1
Czech Republic U17
31 Mar
Poland U17
1 : 1
Croatia U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ireland U17 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Denmark U17 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Wales U17 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Estonia U17 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 1 1 0 0 7:0 3
2 Lithuania U17 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Northern Ireland U17 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
4 Azerbaijan U17 1 0 0 1 0:7 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland U17 3 2 1 0 15:0 7
2 Spain U17 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
3 Israel U17 3 1 1 1 14:2 4
4 Liechtenstein U17 3 0 0 3 0:35 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Finland U17 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Albania U17 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Sweden U17 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Scotland U17 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia U17 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Netherlands U17 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Norway U17 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Malta U17 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Andorra U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bulgaria U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Portugal U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Serbia U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland U17 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 3 2 0 1 12:4 6
3 Greece U17 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Gibraltar U17 3 0 0 3 3:17 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U17 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Belarus U17 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Slovenia U17 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
4 Moldova U17 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Ukraine U17 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Poland U17 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
4 Montenegro U17 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 France U17 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Armenia U17 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
4 Luxembourg U17 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U17 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 North Macedonia U17 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Hungary U17 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
4 San Marino U17 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 1 1 0 0 8:1 3
2 Croatia U17 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Latvia U17 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Kosovo U17 1 0 0 1 1:8 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U17 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Cyprus U17 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
3 Faroe Islands U17 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U17 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
2 Georgia U17 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Kazakhstan U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 (Round 2 - League B)