Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Nantporth Stadium
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ukraine U19 play Italy U19 in the Euro U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ukraine U19 averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Italy U19 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Ukraine U19 won 2, Italy U19 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 21, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Ukraine U19 and 1.31 for Italy U19. This points to a Italy U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ukraine U19
17%
Draws
46%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Ukraine U19 picked up more points recently compared to Italy U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Ukraine U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.61 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2024 Euro U19
Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19
3:2
Mar 23, 2019 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Ukraine U19
3:1
May 22, 2013 Euro U19
Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19
0:1
May 24, 2011 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Ukraine U19
1:0
Jul 15, 2004 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Ukraine U19
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U19 37 / 100
Italy U19 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U19 Italy U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Italy U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ukraine U19 attacking → ← attacking Italy U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U19 scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Italy U19 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ukraine U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Italy U19 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 52
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U19220010:06
2Germany U1922008:36
3Denmark U1920023:70
4Wales U1920020:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ukraine U1911003:13
2Italy U1911002:03
3Croatia U1910011:30
4Serbia U1910010:20