Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Nantporth Stadium, Bangor
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Olychenko B.
Assist: Lyusin P.
34'
Sherstyuk Y.
35'
Lyusin P.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2026 game between Ukraine U19 and Italy U19 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ukraine U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ukraine U19
20%
Draws
33%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ukraine U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Italy U19 come out ahead of Ukraine U19 on wins alone.
  • Ukraine U19 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ukraine U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 14 17
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.58 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Euro U19
Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19
1:0
Jul 21, 2024 Euro U19
Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19
3:2
Mar 23, 2019 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Ukraine U19
3:1
May 22, 2013 Euro U19
Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19
0:1
May 24, 2011 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Ukraine U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Olychenko B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Italy U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U19 86 / 100
Italy U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U19 Italy U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ukraine U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U19's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ukraine U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Italy U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U19 VS Italy U19
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U19

(Home)
08 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 2
Germany U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
02 Jul
Serbia U19
1 : 2
Ukraine U19
29 Jun
Croatia U19
1 : 3
Ukraine U19
31 Mar
Romania U19
1 : 1
Ukraine U19
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Italy U19

(Away)
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
02 Jul
Croatia U19
0 : 0
Italy U19
29 Jun
Italy U19
2 : 0
Serbia U19
31 Mar
Ireland U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Germany U19 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
3 Denmark U19 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Wales U19 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Croatia U19 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Italy U19 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
4 Serbia U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (5th-6th places)