Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ukraine U20 vs Italy U20

World World

World Cup U20 2019 Stadion Miejski w Gdyni, Gdynia
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Sikan D.
46'
Sub
Frattesi D. In: Alberico D.
Out: Frattesi D.
55'
Popov D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ukraine U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ukraine U20
6%
Draws
4%
Italy U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ukraine U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ukraine U20 have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Italy U20 are scoring more at 1.88.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ukraine U20 taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ukraine U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ukraine U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Italy U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U20 Italy U20
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 17 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2019 World Cup U20
Ukraine U20 vs Italy U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Buletsa S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Italy U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U20 95 / 100
Italy U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U20 Italy U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UKR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U20 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Italy U20 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Ukraine U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Italy U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U20 VS Italy U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Ukraine U20
0 : 1
Spain U20
03 Oct
Ukraine U20
2 : 1
Paraguay U20
30 Sept
Panama U20
1 : 1
Ukraine U20
27 Sept
South Korea U20
1 : 2
Ukraine U20
21 Sept
Ukraine U20
2 : 3
Australia U20
Page 1 of 6

Italy U20

(Away)
27 Mar
Italy U20
3 : 3
England U20
17 Nov
Germany U20
5 : 0
Italy U20
14 Nov
Italy U20
1 : 2
Portugal U20
09 Oct
USA U20
3 : 0
Italy U20
04 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Italy U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colombia U202
New Zealand U201
Ukraine U204
Panama U201
Italy U201
Poland U200
Argentina U202
Mali U203
France U202
USA U203
Uruguay U201
Ecuador U203
Japan U200
South Korea U201
Senegal U202
Nigeria U201
Quarter-finals
Colombia U200
Ukraine U201
Italy U204
Mali U202
USA U201
Ecuador U202
South Korea U204
Senegal U203
Semi-finals
Ukraine U201
Italy U200
Ecuador U200
South Korea U201
Final
Ukraine U203
South Korea U201
Italy U200
Ecuador U201