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UKS SMS Lodz W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Filipczak P.
52' Event
Miksone K.
56' Event
Sarapata P.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between UKS SMS Lodz W and Czarni Sosnowiec W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Czarni Sosnowiec W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
UKS SMS Lodz W
44%
Draws
20%
Czarni Sosnowiec W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Czarni Sosnowiec W come out ahead of UKS SMS Lodz W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Czarni Sosnowiec W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
UKS SMS Lodz W Clean Sheet 10%
Czarni Sosnowiec W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UKS SMS Lodz W Czarni Sosnowiec W
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 15 26
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Polish Cup Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
2:3
Apr 16, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UKS SMS Lodz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Filipczak P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miazek Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Czarni Sosnowiec W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarapata P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Miksone K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UKS SMS Lodz W 34 / 100
Czarni Sosnowiec W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UKS SMS Lodz W Czarni Sosnowiec W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CZS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UKS SMS Lodz W scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

UKS SMS Lodz W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Czarni Sosnowiec W let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

UKS SMS Lodz W VS Czarni Sosnowiec W
2 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667