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UKS SMS Lodz W vs Pogon Szczecin W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Okoniewska K.
30' Event
Okoniewska K.
87' Event
Legowski A.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between UKS SMS Lodz W and Pogon Szczecin W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Szczecin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
UKS SMS Lodz W
39%
Draws
31%
Pogon Szczecin W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogon Szczecin W come out ahead of UKS SMS Lodz W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pogon Szczecin W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
UKS SMS Lodz W Clean Sheet 10%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UKS SMS Lodz W Pogon Szczecin W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 20
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 2 2.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Pogon Szczecin W
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
5:0
May 3, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Pogon Szczecin W
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 Polish Cup Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Pogon Szczecin W
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UKS SMS Lodz W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Pogon Szczecin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Okoniewska K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Legowski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UKS SMS Lodz W 29 / 100
Pogon Szczecin W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UKS SMS Lodz W Pogon Szczecin W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UKS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UKS SMS Lodz W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: UKS SMS Lodz W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pogon Szczecin W has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

UKS SMS Lodz W VS Pogon Szczecin W
2 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UKS SMS Lodz W

(Home)
25 Jul
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
1 : 1
UKS SMS Lodz W
30 May
Czarni Sosnowiec W
3 : 2
UKS SMS Lodz W
23 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 2
GKS Katowice W
09 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 1
UKS SMS Lodz W
02 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 0
UJ Krakow W
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Pogon Szczecin W

(Away)
17 Jul
RB Leipzig W
9 : 0
Pogon Szczecin W
30 May
Pogon Szczecin W
1 : 0
Slask Wroclaw W
23 May
Leczna W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
02 May
Pogon Szczecin W
2 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)