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Ulfarnir vs Stokkseyri Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Hrafnsson G. M.
56' Event
Vilbergsson A.
90' Event
Birgisson T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Ulfarnir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ulfarnir
15%
Draws
0%
Stokkseyri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulfarnir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulfarnir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ulfarnir taking it.
  • Ulfarnir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ulfarnir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ulfarnir Clean Sheet 11%
Stokkseyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulfarnir Stokkseyri
Matches Played 19 16
Wins 9 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.11 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.26 5.13
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Ulfarnir vs Stokkseyri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulfarnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrafnsson G. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vilbergsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Stokkseyri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulfarnir 83 / 100
Stokkseyri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulfarnir Stokkseyri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulfarnir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stokkseyri let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

Stokkseyri lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Ulfarnir's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ulfarnir VS Stokkseyri
1.88 Goals Scored 1.14
2.5 Goals Conceded 6.57
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulfarnir

(Home)
26 Mar
Grotta
2 : 1
Ulfarnir
10 Mar
Ulfarnir
4 : 2
Hamar
17 Apr
Olafsvik
7 : 1
Ulfarnir
05 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 2
Ulfarnir
28 Mar
Ulfarnir
3 : 0
Stokkseyri
Page 1 of 4

Stokkseyri

(Away)
24 Mar
Lettir
7 : 3
Stokkseyri
28 Mar
Ulfarnir
3 : 0
Stokkseyri
04 Apr
Selfoss
:
Stokkseyri
31 Mar
Throttur
18 : 0
Stokkseyri
10 Apr
Stokkseyri
0 : 11
Hviti
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 1
KA Asvellir 2
SR Reykjavik 2
KFR 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
KFG Gardabaer 2
Reynir 3
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 5
Volsungur 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Throttur -
TBD -
Ymir 3
Hafnir 4
Kari 7
KFS 1
Arbaer 4
Thorlakur 1
Aegir 2
KV Reykjavik 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
TBD -
BF 108 8
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar -
Kria 2
Lettir 1
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Smari 4
Falkar 0
Hamar 1
Skallagrimur 3
Ulfarnir 3
Stokkseyri 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 3
RB Keflavik 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
IBU 0
Hviti 6
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
KH Hlidarendi 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
KFK Kopavogur 1
Ellidi 5
Alftanes 0
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Magni 4
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Arborg 0
Augnablik 4
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Grotta -
TBD -
Vidir 2
Hordur Isafjordur 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Sindri 2
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
Spyrnir 5
Neisti 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 3
KFR 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Reynir 0
Grindavik 5
TBD -
Valur -
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 2
Throttur 7
Hafnir 0
Kari 8
Arbaer 1
KV Reykjavik 1
Fylkir 6
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
BF 108 0
Keflavik 6
Throttur Vogar 0
Kria 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Olafsvik 5
Smari 1
Skallagrimur 1
Ulfarnir 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vestri -
TBD -
Kopavogur 4
Hviti 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 5
Ellidi 1
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri 7
Magni 0
Augnablik 0
IR Reykjavik 5
Grotta 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur / Huginn 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KFA 3
Spyrnir 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
KR Reykjavik 11
KA Asvellir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Grindavik 1
Valur 3
Volsungur 2
Throttur 3
Kari 2
Fylkir 1
Stjarnan 5
Njardvik 3
Keflavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 7
Ulfarnir 1
Breidablik 5
Fjolnir 0
Vestri 4
Kopavogur 3
Selfoss 4
Haukar 0
Thor Akureyri 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Grotta 1
Akranes 4
Afturelding 5
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 4
KFA 0
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
KR Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Valur 2
Throttur 1
Kari 2
Stjarnan 3
Keflavik 5
Olafsvik 2
Breidablik 1
Vestri 2
Selfoss 1
Thor Akureyri 4
Akranes 0
Afturelding 1
KA Akureyri 2
Fram 4
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Valur 1
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 2
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Afturelding 0
Fram 1
Semi-finals
Valur 3
Stjarnan 1
Vestri 1
Fram 0
Final
Valur 0
Vestri 1