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Ulinzi Stars vs Police FC

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Omondi E.
53' Event
Ochieng T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ulinzi Stars
39%
Draws
31%
Police FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulinzi Stars average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Police FC's 1.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ulinzi Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Police FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulinzi Stars Police FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 14
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Police FC
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Police FC
0:0
Mar 4, 2024 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Police FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulinzi Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochieng T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Police FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Omondi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulinzi Stars 41 / 100
Police FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulinzi Stars Police FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulinzi Stars's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ulinzi Stars went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Police FC has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ulinzi Stars VS Police FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulinzi Stars

(Home)
31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
27 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0
Tusker
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1
Mathare United
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 6

Police FC

(Away)
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)