Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ullern 2 vs Gjellerasen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Eskilsson B.

AI Match Summary

Gjellerasen in this Division 3 - Group 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gjellerasen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ullern 2
15%
Draws
57%
Gjellerasen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gjellerasen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gjellerasen have won more games recently than Ullern 2.
  • Ullern 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ullern 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Gjellerasen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern 2 Gjellerasen
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 1 9
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.59
Goals Conceded 3.08 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Gjellerasen vs Ullern 2
6:2
Jun 27, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern 2 vs Gjellerasen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ullern 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Gjellerasen Compare

Top Goalscorer Eskilsson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 2 41 / 100
Gjellerasen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern 2 Gjellerasen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gjellerasen has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Ullern 2's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Gjellerasen's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gjellerasen
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ullern 2

(Home)
29 Oct
Stabaek 2
5 : 0
Ullern 2
22 Oct
Ullern 2
1 : 4
Skjetten
14 Oct
Skedsmo
8 : 0
Ullern 2
08 Oct
Ullern 2
4 : 0
Gneist IL
02 Oct
Lillestrom 2
4 : 0
Ullern 2
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Gjellerasen

(Away)
27 Oct
Gjellerasen
1 : 5
Funnefoss/Vormsund
20 Oct
Ready
7 : 0
Gjellerasen
06 Oct
Gjellerasen
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
28 Sept
Skjetten
4 : 0
Gjellerasen
22 Sept
Gjellerasen
2 : 0
Hodd 2
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