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Ulm vs Fulda-Lehnerz Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest Donaustadion, Ulm
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Seegert M.
Own Goal
64' Event
Meuer S.
90' Event
Meuer S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest game between Ulm and Fulda-Lehnerz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ulm
30%
Draws
23%
Fulda-Lehnerz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fulda-Lehnerz come out ahead of Ulm on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ulm's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ulm have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ulm Clean Sheet 20%
Fulda-Lehnerz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulm Fulda-Lehnerz
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.54 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs Fulda-Lehnerz
2:2
May 20, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs Fulda-Lehnerz
5:0
Nov 12, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
Fulda-Lehnerz vs Ulm
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulm Compare

Top Goalscorer Meuer S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fulda-Lehnerz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivankovic R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulm 49 / 100
Fulda-Lehnerz 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulm Fulda-Lehnerz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fulda-Lehnerz conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Ulm scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Fulda-Lehnerz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulm VS Fulda-Lehnerz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulm

(Home)
03 Oct
Kassel
2 : 2
Ulm
26 Sept
Ulm
0 : 1
Eintracht Trier
19 Sept
Sandhausen
2 : 2
Ulm
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2
FSV Frankfurt
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Ulm
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Fulda-Lehnerz

(Away)
03 Oct
FC 08 Homburg
1 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
26 Sept
VfR Mannheim
5 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3
Freiburg II
12 Sept
Stutt. Kickers
2 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
09 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
1 : 2
Eintracht Frankfurt II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 10 5 5 0 26:11 20
2 Stutt. Kickers 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
3 Kickers Offenbach 10 6 1 3 20:13 19
4 Aalen 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
5 Freiburg II 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
6 Eintracht Trier 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
7 FC 08 Homburg 10 4 3 3 13:13 15
8 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
9 TSV Steinbach Haiger 10 3 4 3 15:15 13
10 Sandhausen 10 3 4 3 16:20 13
11 FSV Frankfurt 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
12 Kassel 10 3 2 5 17:19 11
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
14 Astoria Walldorf 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
15 Mainz II 10 3 0 7 10:21 9
16 Kaiserslautern II 9 2 3 4 7:18 9
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 10 1 3 6 14:22 6
18 Ulm 10 0 5 5 13:21 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)