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Stadium Background

Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Lee Dong-Gyeong
Assist: Bojanic D.
31'
Kim Jae-Woo
32' Event
Trojak M.

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Ulsan Hyundai and Jeju SK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulsan Hyundai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ulsan Hyundai
44%
Draws
20%
Jeju SK
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulsan Hyundai haven't matched Jeju SK's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ulsan Hyundai have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 17%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Hyundai Jeju SK
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Ulsan Hyundai
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK
1:0
May 11, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Dong-Gyeong
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trojak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Negueba
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Hyundai 36 / 100
Jeju SK 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Hyundai Jeju SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ulsan Hyundai scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Jeju SK has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ulsan Hyundai stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Hyundai VS Jeju SK
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Hyundai

(Home)
26 Jul
Seoul
1 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
21 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 2
Incheon
18 Jul
Daejeon
2 : 2
Ulsan Hyundai
11 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 3
Jeonbuk
05 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
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Jeju SK

(Away)
26 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 2
Jeju SK
21 Jul
Jeju SK
1 : 1
Gangwon
18 Jul
Jeju SK
2 : 1
Pohang
12 Jul
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Daejeon
05 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Jeju SK
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul19133334:1442
2Jeonbuk2096527:1633
3Gangwon1988324:1232
4Ulsan Hyundai1984727:2828
5Pohang2084820:2128
6Anyang1969426:2227
7Incheon1983824:2027
8Jeju SK1966717:1924
9Daejeon2048823:2320
10Gimcheon Sangmu20311621:2820
11Bucheon FC 19951947817:2419
12Gwangju FC19171110:4310
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)