Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju FC

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Jung Seung-Hyun
Assist: Marcao
20' Event
Shin Chang-Moo
Assist: Ahn Hyeok-Ju
27' Event
Marcao
Assist: Lee Gyu-Seong

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Ulsan Hyundai and Gwangju FC finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulsan Hyundai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ulsan Hyundai
39%
Draws
31%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ulsan Hyundai come out ahead of Gwangju FC on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 68%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Hyundai Gwangju FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju FC
5:1
Nov 22, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju FC
2:0
Jul 2, 2025 Korean Cup
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung Seung-Hyun
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gwangju FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Shin Chang-Moo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Hyundai 41 / 100
Gwangju FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Hyundai Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Hyundai scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Gwangju FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Ulsan Hyundai remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Hyundai VS Gwangju FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Hyundai

(Home)
29 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
26 Jul
Seoul
1 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
21 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 2
Incheon
18 Jul
Daejeon
2 : 2
Ulsan Hyundai
11 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 3
Jeonbuk
Page 1 of 6

Gwangju FC

(Away)
29 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 0
Cheonan City
26 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 2
Jeju SK
22 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
19 Jul
Anyang
1 : 1
Gwangju FC
11 Jul
Gwangju FC
0 : 3
Pohang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul20133435:1742
2Jeonbuk2096527:1633
3Gangwon2088425:1432
4Ulsan Hyundai2094730:2931
5Anyang2079428:2330
6Incheon2084825:2128
7Pohang2084820:2128
8Jeju SK2076719:2027
9Daejeon2048823:2320
10Gimcheon Sangmu20311621:2820
11Bucheon FC 19952048818:2520
12Gwangju FC20171211:4510
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)